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State of the Union 2018: Trump Expected to Address Immigration, Tax Cuts, Markets, and Trade

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Trump to herald economic progress in his first State of the Union address Tuesday. (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)

President Donald Trump will deliver his first State of the Union address on January 30th before a joint session of Congress, to mark his first year in office and present his vision for the next.

The address at the U.S. Capitol comes on the heels of a three-day government shutdown that resulted from lawmakers stalling on a deal to protect DACA Dreamers, an issue that could reignite on Feb. 8th, when the stop-gap spending measure to keep the government open expires.

What to expect from the State of the Union

The speech gives Trump an opportunity to outline his 2018 agenda ahead of the crucial midterm congressional elections in November.

In the case of President Trump, the stakes are unusually high for his first “State of the Union” as millions across the nation tune in. Trump’s approval rating is historically low compared to his predecessors. Just 39% of Americans approve of the job he is doing, according to FiveThirtyEight, and 56% disapprove. When Former President Barack Obama gave his first address, he had a 49% approval rating. George W. Bush had an impressive 84% and Bill Clinton 54%.

According to Politico, senior policy adviser Stephen Miller and staff secretary Rob Porter took the lead writing the speech. Reportedly, Trump has been reviewing drafts in recent days, making handwritten edits requesting rewrites of key sections.

The president’s speechwriters completed a full draft of the speech last week, which in most cases will require several edits and revisions with Cabinet secretaries and senior White House aides reviewing and offering suggestions. National security adviser H.R. McMaster, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Defense Secretary James Mattis have offered feedback on the national security portion of the speech, the White House official said.

The administration official outlining the speech has reported Trump will tout his signature legislative win as the “biggest tax cut and reform in American history.” He further stated Trump will emphasize his ongoing deregulatory agenda, the strength of the U.S. economy and a stock market that had its best year since Franklin Roosevelt.

“People will be reminded and in some cases surprised by how much President Trump has accomplished in his first year,” the administration official said.

Trump’s second-year agenda will focus on a $200 billion federal infrastructure spending package that could generate up to $1.8 trillion in total spending on roads, bridges, transit and other projects. The White House is planning to release a more detailed infrastructure plan in the weeks after the speech.

Immigration an expected theme of Trump’s speech position’s the president to use, the pulpit to pressure Congress in the direction of a compromise on a plan to strengthen border protection, limit future immigration and give 1.8 million undocumented young immigrants — “Dreamers” — legal residency and a path to citizenship. According to Politico, “That’s more than twice the number of Dreamers currently protected under President Barack Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals policy or DACA.”

A number of political pundits on major networks in the last week have stated Trump will likely accuse Democrats of playing politics on immigration; amid growing opposition to a proposal put forward by the White House on last Thursday. Democrats, in turn, have invited dozens of Dreamers to watch the speech from the House gallery, a reminder of the human cost of not reaching a deal.

Trump is expected to place emphasis on a “fair and reciprocal” trade policy and reiterate his support for mutually beneficial bilateral trade deals.  He is also expected to speak about abuses of trade deals, specifically how they harm American workers and the U.S. economy. The message on trade would be similar to Trump’s speech delivered in November at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, according to a White House official.

Trump will address Kim Jong-un and the nuclear threat from North Korea by emphasizing a national security policy of “peace through strength,” the official said.

Trump, who has been criticized for failing to follow through on promises to fight opioid addiction crisis, will introduce a guest in the House gallery affected by drug addiction.

“Anything he can do to send a signal that he would like 2018 to be different — more collaborative and more open to the kind of compromise that gets the people’s business done — would be in his interest,” Galston said.

How to watch the State of the Union

The State of the Union address will be aired by all major US broadcast and cable-news networks and will be streamed live online.

When: 9:00 pm US Eastern time

TV: C-SPAN, CBS, NBC, ABC, Fox, Univision, CNN, FOX News, MSNBC, PBS

Online: C-SPAN, Twitter, White House YouTube and Facebook (as well via the online streaming options of the networks listed above.)

What to expect from Democrats

Some Democratic members of Congress, including Earl Blumenauer of Oregon and Maxine Waters of California, as of this article have stated they won’t attend the speech. “I cannot in all good conscience be in a room, with what he has said about so many Americans. I just cannot do it. It wouldn’t be honest with myself,” John Lewis said in an interview with MSNBC.

Jackie Speier of California is also spearheading a campaign among women in Congress to wear black to the State of the Union address in solidarity with the #MeToo and Times Up movements protesting sexual harassment and misconduct.

Congressman Joseph Kennedy III of Massachusetts, a rising star in the Democratic party widely expected to run for the Senate when a seat opens, will deliver the party’s State of the Union response.

In 2013, the performance Senator Marco Rubio, in response to then-President Obama, brought attention to the thirsty Florida Republican, and his water bottle (at about 00:23 in the video).

Video courtesy of ABC News

Source: The Hill and Politico

@LeNoraMillen        01-30-18

 

 

 

 

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Politics

Trump Tweets About an ‘Insecure’ and ‘Biased’ Oprah Winfrey Over Her ’60 Minutes’ Segment

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Oprah Winfrey in a 60 minutes segment with a voter focus group on America’s political divide.  (Photo Courtesy of CBS News).

Donald Trump venting over the FBI and the Russia investigation took to Twitter on Sunday night in a tweetstorm attack on Oprah Winfrey following her “60 Minutes” segment on America’s political divide. Despite his denial of spending time watching television, his response to Winfrey stated otherwise.

“Just watched a very insecure Oprah Winfrey, who at one point I knew very well, interview a panel of people on 60 Minutes,” tweeted Trump, “The questions were biased and slanted, the facts incorrect. Hope Oprah runs so she can be exposed and defeated just like all of the others!”

Winfrey’s report followed up her September segment featuring the same panel of Trump voters and non-Trump voters in the battleground state of Michigan. The goal of the segment was to understand their thoughts on his presidency and direction of the country one year after he took office.

In the wake of Winfrey’s historic #MeToo speech during the Golden Globes in January, an #Oprah2020 movement took root, with many stars – including Meryl Streep and Steven Spielberg – calling on Winfrey to consider running. Days later, Trump addressed the speculation, telling the press, “Yeah, I’ll beat Oprah.”

In 1999, Trump thought Winfrey would be a good running mate.  At the time Trump said: “I know her very well. You know, I did one of her last shows. She had Donald Trump – this was before politics – her last week, and she had Donald Trump and my family. It was very nice.”

Oprah Winfrey, despite earlier rumors of a presidential bid, has been clear that she has no intention of running for president.  Making it clear on her intentions she said in a 60 Minutes overtime clip separate from Sunday’s report. “If God actually wanted me to run, wouldn’t God kind of tell me?”

@LeNoraMillen       02-20-18

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Lifestyle

Dodge MLK Super Bowl Ad Sparks Controversy

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A Dodge Super Bowl ad has attracted criticism for its use of a sermon by Martin Luther King Jr. to sell trucks.

The ad featured a section of King’s The Drum Major Instinct sermon delivered February 4, 1968, overtop images of American patriotism, including America’s military and other service jobs like teachers and firefighters.

“If you want to be important—wonderful. If you want to be recognized—wonderful. If you want to be great—wonderful. But recognize that he who is greatest among you shall be your servant,” King is heard saying in the ad. “That’s a new definition of greatness.”

The ad, which ran in support of the Ram Nation volunteer program, also featured images of Dodge trucks. On airing, it began to get immediate blowback.

“The use of MLK to promote Ram trucks strikes many people as crass and inappropriate,” Tim Calkins, a marketing professor at Northwestern University told the Associated Press.

Bernice A. King, the youngest child of the civil rights leader and his wife Coretta Scott King urged people to listen to the sermon “in its entirety.”

“Please listen to/read his speeches, sermons, and writings. Understand his comprehensive teachings and his global perspective. Study his nonviolent philosophy. It’s more than a tactic,” she tweeted, providing a link to the sermon.

A social media user took that message to heart and created a different version of the ad with King’s warning to his congregation from the same sermon that advertisers pressure them to buy more than they can afford, playing on their selfishness and the “drum major instinct” that pushes them to prove that they are better than others.

King said: “They have a way of saying things to you that kind of gets you into buying. In order to be a man of distinction, you must drink this whiskey. In order to make your neighbors envious, you must drive this type of car. In order to be lovely to love, you must wear this kind of lipstick or this kind of perfume. And you know, before you know it, you’re just buying that stuff (…) That’s the way the advertisers do it.”

King said people end up living “their lives trying to outdo the Joneses” rather than building communities around themselves.

The Dodge ad also appeared to some to contradict what King stood for as he famously argued for U.S. military spending to be cut and instead go to programs that served the poorest Americans.

“Are MLK’s words really being used right now to sell cars?” wrote Nicholas Thompson, the editor-in-chief of Wired magazine in response to the ad on Twitter.

The King Center distanced itself from the ad, pointing out it was not responsible for approving the use of King’s image and words,

Fiat Chrysler said it worked with King’s estate on the ad, which licenses King’s image and speeches, and is run by King’s son Dexter Scott King. The estate’s managing director, Eric D. Tidwell, said in a statement early Monday: “We found that the overall message of the ad embodied Dr. King’s philosophy that true greatness is achieved by serving others. Thus we decided to be a part of Ram’s ‘Built To Serve’ Super Bowl program.”

Source: Newsweek

@LeNoraMillen            02-05-18

 

 

 

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Politics

Three Questions About the FISA Court Answered

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The E. Barrett Prettyman Federal Courthouse houses the FISA court. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci).

On Feb. 2, President Donald Trump allowed the release of the previously classified “Nunes memo.” The memo, written by Republican congressional aides, criticized information used as the basis for a FISA court surveillance application related to the Mueller probe into Russia’s possible involvement in the 2016 election.

But what exactly is the FISA court? And how does it work?

  1. When was the FISA court established?

Congress passed FISA or the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act in 1978. FISA was originally introduced by Democratic Sen. Ted Kennedy. The act was largely a response to President Richard Nixon’s misuse of federal resources to investigate U.S. citizens.

Its purpose was to provide oversight for foreign intelligence surveillance activities. These might include tracing telephone and email use, conducting physical searches or accessing business records. FISA lays out guidelines and procedures for these activities.

FISA applies only to “foreign powers” and “agents of foreign powers.” Basically, this means that FISA is used to gather information about people who work for the governments of other countries. Investigators are typically not allowed to target U.S. citizens under FISA. In fact, if information about a U.S. citizen is accidentally discovered, the law requires those records to be destroyed.

There are some notable exceptions.  One is when the discovered information shows that there is a threat of death or serious harm to another person. Another is that officials can wiretap U.S. citizens while they are overseas. Importantly, FISA warrants can also be requested to monitor U.S. citizens believed to be acting on behalf of a foreign power.

As part of FISA, Congress established the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, or FISA court.

The FISA court is a U.S. federal court whose purpose is to review and rule on search warrant requests made under FISA. Each year, the FISA court is required to provide a report to Congress of its activities. These reports include the number of requests made under FISA, but not the content of those requests. That content is not a matter of public record.

  1. How is FISA court different from other courts?

FISA court is not like a typical criminal court.

First, Department of Justice officials seeking a warrant do not need to show evidence that a crime has occurred or is about to happen. That sort of evidence, also known as probable cause, would be needed to obtain a typical search warrant in criminal court. Instead, officials only need to provide evidence that the target of surveillance is a foreign power or agent of a foreign power.

Second, investigators can conduct surveillance for up to a year without a court order if authorized by the president. For this to occur, the U.S. Attorney General has to certify to the court that there is minimal risk that the investigation will turn up information about U.S. citizens. The U.S. Attorney General must also certify to the court that the target of the investigation is a foreign power or an agent of a foreign power. These requirements parallel what Department of Justice officials would need to demonstrate in FISA court in order to obtain a FISA court warrant.

Third, the FISA court is closed to the public. Unlike a criminal court, there is no jury and the government is the only party present. In other words, FISA court proceedings do not involve prosecutors and defense attorneys arguing on behalf of clients. The FISA court is simply hearing the requests of officials seeking search warrants. This is very similar to what happens when local law enforcement officials seek a search warrant.

However, FISA court records are not open to the public. In rare cases, some records have been released with redacted information. The U.S. president also has the authority to declassify information at his discretion. This is different from normal police investigations, where search warrants generally become public record unless sealed by a judge.

While many state criminal court judges are electedFISA court judges are appointed by the chief justice of the U.S. Supreme Court, currently Justice John Roberts.

The eleven FISA judges are selected from across the U.S. federal circuits. These judges may serve for a maximum of seven years. Since not all judges are required at any one time, FISA court judges perform their duties on a rotating basis. They don’t serve full time on the FISA court.

One similarity to a typical criminal court is that an appeals process is available. If a FISA court judge denies a search request, that judge must explain the reasons for the denial. Then, a panel of three federal judges appointed by the chief justice reviews the search request. This panel is called the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court of Review. If the request is again denied, the U.S. Supreme Court has the authority to review the decision. There is no option for appeal by the person being investigated because he or she is unaware of the surveillance.

  1. How many cases does the FISA court handle?

In 2016, the FISA court reviewed 1,485 requests for surveillance. While higher than the number of requests reviewed in 2014 (1,379) and 2015 (1,457), the number of requests has remained at 1,200 or higher since 2001.

It is rare for these requests to be denied. Of the requests made in 2016, only 34 were rejected. In most years, no requests were denied.

Since the proceedings of the court are secret, it is unclear why these denials occurred or why so few cases were denied.

It is also unclear how the current controversy over the Nunes memo will affect FISA operations in the future, if at all.

Assistant Professor of Criminal Justice, Pennsylvania State University—Lacey Wallace contributed to this report.  Wallace does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Source: The Conversation

@LeNoraMillen       02-05-18

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